A new democratic order is already in place — The aftermath of wars have a huge bearing on all the parties involved in the war. It changes the trajectory of the direct actors, while tangentially affecting the spectators. …

Ukraine all set to induce chaos — Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s statement, “The only thing we have to fear is fear itself,” is one for the ages. You can rescue an army from a contagion, but if it gets infected with fear, there is nothing you can do to recover. The ultranationalist community in Russia, vocalized by Russian…

History is not going to talk about Presidential Approval Ratings — In 2012, President Barack Obama warned Assad’s potential use of chemical weapons as “a red line” that would have “enormous consequences” and “change my calculus” on American military intervention in Syria’s civil war. One year later, Bashar-Al-Assad did exactly what Obama had warned him not to do. “A rebel-held suburb…

There is no escape hatch — To counter Vladimir Putin, the west has taken two approaches after he invaded Ukraine last year. One is to provide monetary and lethal support for Ukraine. The other is to impose economic sanctions to deplete Putin’s ability to sustain the war. Neither one can be counted as a victory for…

However, Ukraine cannot take advantage of this opportunity — Having failed to unseat Kyiv with a 150,000 strong force, Vladimir Putin doubled the size of his army and scaled down the scope of his objectives, hoping to finally achieve success. But the Russians couldn’t even cross the Bakhmutka river and encircle the Ukrainians on the other side. Putin…

Their endgame is flexible because of it — U.S. President Biden made it explicitly clear last year that he would avoid direct involvement in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. One week after Russian troops moved into Ukraine, Biden told a gathering of House Democrats in Philadelphia: “The idea that we’re going to send in offensive equipment and…

Putin’s ethno-nationalism hinders the recruitment of his army — More than a million Russian men have run. They packed their suitcases, filled their wallets, picked a location and then they crossed the Russian border. Pregnant Russian women are flying to Argentina to deliver their child because an Argentinian passport offers a brighter future than a Russian passport. 200,000 Russian…

There is nowhere for Putin to go, just like Hitler — “On Wednesday, February 3, 1943, a special radio announcement informed the German people they had lost the Battle of Stalingrad. The news had a devastating impact on morale, casting an undeniable shadow of doubt on the Führer personally, and the future of Nazi Germany itself”. A secret opinion survey taken…

Makes a big mistake at the worst possible time — The taste of unlimited power is like a drug. Once you taste it, you’ll be hooked and sucked deeper, until you end up upside down. Adolf Hitler, Benito Mussolini, Muammar Gaddafi, and Saddam Hussein are perfect examples of dictators who travelled very fast from the top to the bottom. It…