All bets are off: Harris looking at +300 as Trump’s support collapses in Iowa

Iowa Poll Shows Harris leading Trump by 3 points

Shankar Narayan
4 min readNov 3, 2024

--

The Des Moines Register’s final Iowa Poll of the election cycle shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points in a state he previously carried twice. I should mention the Des Moines Register — they were the ones who first flashed a warning signal for Hillary Clinton in 2016. Until then, Iowa had been considered a swing state.

Hillary Clinton likely entered the race thinking Iowa was in her column. But on October 8th, 2016 a massive warning sign sounded: Trump was leading her in the state by 4 points. She did invest in Iowa, and right up until the last moment, her team worked to keep it blue. Then, on November 4th, the Des Moines Register poll showed Trump leading Clinton by a substantial 7 points. I think a lot of people were grasping at straws when that poll dropped.

In the end, Trump won the state by nine points. The Des Moines Register knows their ground — they’re good. When people kept asking me about Florida coming into play, I told them to wait for the Iowa poll from the Des Moines Register.

--

--

Shankar Narayan
Shankar Narayan

Written by Shankar Narayan

He didn't care what he had or what he had left, he cared only about what he must do.

Responses (26)