But these numbers are abnormal this year. It is no where near what it was in 2020. This is a very clear breakout. There were 74 million people who voted for Donald Trump that year, that was not the MAGA base. It was so many different types of people. Some where it has cleaved. The odds of the ones who voted for Cheney voting for Trump is very small. Biden can rally them to his side.

My numbers will still hold even if Biden can take three percent of GOP voters from Trump. Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, PA and North Carolina plus all the states Hillary won in 2016. I have some reservations about Wisconsin. But the rest looks clean. Keep watching NC this year. If it goes to Biden, which it should, if Biden campaign can hit the ground hard. Then the rest of the nation will follow. None of what had written will make any difference if Haley wins. But she wont unless there is an external influence.