Fortnight to early voting: The tilting battlegrounds
From polls to results
Early voting was supposed to start today in Pennsylvania, but due to court cases, the ballots remain unprinted and the start date will be pushed back. Nevertheless, a wave of states, including Illinois, Minnesota, Mississippi, South Dakota, Vermont, and Virginia, will open for early voting before the end of this month, with more states joining in the first two weeks of October.
Every pundit who reads the polls will add a disclaimer saying, “If the election were to be held today.” This will become increasingly relevant for millions of voters over the next 45 days. I believe it’s crucial to examine the state of the race across the country.
Typically, when I analyze the polls, I start by considering things from the Trump campaign’s perspective and then mix and match. This time, however, I will focus solely on the Harris campaign and view the situation through their lens.
The traditionally blue states, the ones Hillary Clinton won in 2016, still appear safely blue, except for Nevada. This is Hillary’s map.