Here is why it's a good news
The House looks like a lost cause.
We can’t blame the voters for everything. They are actually a bit smarter than we think.
Since 1934, only twice has the president’s party gained House seats in midterms.
- “In 2002, the Republicans picked up 10 seats — eight in the House and two in the Senate — while Bush was in the White House. The election was held a year after the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, and the Republican president’s popularity surged amid the strong patriotic sentiment in the electorate.
- In 1998, the Democrats picked up five seats — all in the House — in Clinton’s second term, even as he faced impeachment hearings sought by Republicans amid the Monica Lewinsky scandal.
- In 1934, the Democrats picked up 18 seats — nine each in the House and Senate — while Democratic President Franklin D. Roosevelt was in office and putting in place the New Deal to ease the impact of The Great Depression”.
Historians call this phenomenon as “Presidential Penalty”. I call it ‘American Smarts’.
It is easy to get carried away in a two-party system. If a party captures full control of Washington, it can easily sway the country in one ideological direction. Americans keep both parties in check by swinging from one side to another every two years.
President Biden’s sub-optimal ratings is not going to help the Democrats defy history and gain House seats.
The Senate Report
The Democrats are in a much better position in the Senate race.
- 34 senate seats are up this November.
- Democrats will not defend any seats carried by Trump in 2020
- Republicans must defend two seats Biden won — Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
Of the 34 seats, only seven seats will be up for grabs. The rest will follow the tradition of voting for the same party.