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Russia Launches a Counterattack on Avdiivka
A sound concept, though there may be one issue in its implementation
“Our Avdiivka is under massive attacks by Russian artillery and aviation,” Andriy Yermak, the head of the Ukrainian president’s office, said yesterday in a post on the Telegram messaging service.
“The scale of the recent attacks is unprecedented,” said Mykola Bielieskov, a military analyst at the National Institute for Strategic Studies. The ISW had a huge paragraph completely devoted to Russian actions around Avdiivka:
The Ukrainian General Staff confirmed up to three Russian battalions conducted an attack in the Avdiivka direction, and ISW has observed footage of fighting in the area, but ISW has not observed any confirmation of these claimed Russian advances as of this writing.[3] Russian milbloggers are largely portraying the Avdiivka-area operations as a significant offensive effort aimed at encircling the Ukrainian force grouping in Avdiivka and capturing the city.
But they also mentioned that the Russian forces “also attacked southwest of Orikhiv on the Pyatykhatky-Zherebyanky line.” And that explains what the Russians are trying to do. Once you see both the locations on the map below, you will know what they are trying to do.
