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Women Gear Up to Sink the Republican Party in the Great Lakes
Are We Witnessing the Great Realignment?
I had almost completed the data collection for my midterm race forecast. I left the states I thought were red and blue. Is there any point in digging into a state where the results are known before the first ballot is cast?
As I began my sanity check, I froze. Suddenly, there it was. Ohio, a ruby red state, shimmering in blue. This still seems impossible to me.
A poll conducted by John Bolton Super PAC, a partisan Republican group, showed Democratic candidate Tim Ryan leading by six points. Other pollsters gave Tim Ryan a much bigger lead.
I heard sirens blaring in my head.
If the Democrats are pulling ahead of well-funded and Trump endorsed J.D Vance in Ohio, then all the states around the Great Lakes should be drifting away from the Republican party.
I was correct.
What’s Going On?
Democratic candidates contesting in statewide elections are either on par or ahead of Republican candidates in Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania. They are ahead in Arizona and Georgia as well, but that was expected.